In regions that are contested (and showed questionable behavior during counting on election night), the graphs are different. When Wisconsin counted the 169K lately-discovered absentee ballots, we see a jump off the mail-in curve:Here is a plot of the same Florida voting data, but this time it's the ratio of #Biden to #Trump ballots, versus time. What we see is that the initial ballot reportings are very noisy and "random".
— CulturalHusbandry (@APhilosophae) November 9, 2020
Not only is it a significant jump off the curve, but it beats the starting D/R ratio of the mail-in batches. Georgia shows another red flag. You can see the curve for mail-in batches drifting to lower D/R ratios, but it suddenly reverses course, and does so with multiple jumps:This is the Wisconsin vote counting history log. Again, on the Y axis we have the ratio of D to R ballots in reporting batch, and on the X axis we have reporting time.
— CulturalHusbandry (@APhilosophae) November 9, 2020
— CulturalHusbandry (@APhilosophae) November 9, 2020@APhilosophae shows anamolies in Pennsylvania, Michigan, and Virginia as well. It's worth reading the whole thread, which starts at https://twitter.com/APhilosophae/status/1325592112428163072. I've archived @APhilosophae's original data and original script.
An analyst just ran the data with Allegheny using the Mebane 2nd digit test with Trump vs Biden. The difference was significant. It just doesn't work.
— Yo dat elefant (@YoDatElefant) November 7, 2020
Biden's is fishy, many significant deviations. In Trump's only 2 deviations but neither are significant at the 5% level.
Read the full thread at https://twitter.com/YoDatElefant/status/1324838425170595840.For Biden in Allegheny absentee ballots, there are multiple significant deviations. For Trump, none of the deviations are significant at the 5% level.
— Yo dat elefant (@YoDatElefant) November 7, 2020